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Tax Policy Lessons from the 2000s
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February 16, 2009

LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS
INTRODUCTION, Alan D. Viard
1. ENVIRONMENTAL TAXATION: WHAT HAVE WE LEARNED IN THIS DECADE? Gilbert E. Metcalf
The U.S. Experience with Environmental Taxes
Advances in the Theory
Efficiency Considerations of Environmental Taxation
Distributional Considerations with Environmental Taxation
The New Frontier: Carbon Pricing
Conclusion
Notes
References
2. A RESPONSE TO GILBERT E. METCALF, Roberton C. Williams III
Environmental Taxes in the United States
Lessons for Carbon Policy
A Brief Proposal for a U.S. Carbon Policy
Notes
References
3. EVIDENCE ON LABOR SUPPLY AND TAXES, AND IMPLICATIONS FOR TAX POLICY, Nada Eissa
Tax Policy Changes in the 2000s and Their Impact on Labor Supply Incentives
Impact on Labor Supply Incentives
A Simple Framework for Evaluating the Impact of Tax Cuts in the 2000s?
Taxes and Labor Supply
The Budget Set
Identification of Labor Supply and Tax Effects
What Do We Know about Taxes and Labor Supply?
Male Labor Supply
Female Labor Supply
Intertemporal Responses
Implications for Welfare Evaluation of Tax Reform
Conclusions
Notes
References
4. A RESPONSE TO NADA EISSA, Steven J. Davis
Micro and Macro Studies of Labor Supply Responses to Taxes
Longer-Run and Equilibrium Responses to Taxes
Labor Supply Responses on Other Margins
Summary
Notes
References
5. THE ELASTICITY OF TAXABLE INCOME: INFLUENCES ON ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY AND TAX REVENUES, AND IMPLICATIONS FOR TAX POLICY, Seth H. Giertz
Developments in Assessing the Efficiency Implications of Taxation
Developments in ETI Research since 2000
Issues That Complicate Estimation
Recent ETI Estimates
Applying the ETI for Tax Policy
Data and Institutional Background
Revenue and Efficiency Implications of Expiring Tax Legislation
Marginal Deadweight Loss
Laffer Curves
Conclusion
Notes
References
6. A RESPONSE TO SETH H. GIERTZ, Daniel Feenberg
Mean Reversion
Inequality
Partial versus General
References
7. WELFARE AND MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF DEFICITFINANCED TAX CUTS: LESSONS FROM CGE MODELS, John W. Diamond and Alan D. Viard
Background
Basic Theory in OLG Models
Rationale for CGE Modeling
Auerbach-Kotlikoff Results
Lessons Learned in the 2000s
Model Structure and Calibration
Production
Individual Behavior
Calibration
Simulation Results
Immediate Spending Offset
Government Transfer Offset after Ten Years
Across-the-Board Tax Increase after Ten Years
Summary of Macroeconomic Effects
Intergenerational Welfare Effects
How Are Deficit-Financed Tax Cuts Typically Paid For?
Models of Infinite-Lived Agents
Conclusion and Extensions
Appendix
The Nonresidential Production Sector
The Owner-Occupied and Rental Housing Production Sectors
Individual Behavior
Notes
References
8. A RESPONSE TO JOHN W. DIAMOND AND ALAN D. VIARD, Laurence J. Kotlikoff
References
9. THE IMPACT OF TAXES ON DIVIDENDS AND CORPORATE FINANCIAL POLICY: LESSONS FROM THE 2000S, Dhammika Dharmapala
Lessons about Dividends, Payout Policy, and Firm Value
A Simple Equilibrium Condition
The Effects of JGTRRA on Dividends
The Effects of JGTRRA on Firm Value
Interpreting the Evidence
Lessons about Corporate Financial Policy and Portfolio Choices
International Financial Equilibrium
The Effect of JGTRRA on U.S. Investors’ Equity Holdings
Lessons about Corporate Tax Integration
The Efficiency Costs of Corporate Financial Distortions
Corporate Tax Integration and International Financial Integration
Future Directions for Dividend Tax Policy
Firm-Level Approaches to Corporate Tax Integration
Conclusion
Notes
References
10. A RESPONSE TO DHAMMIKA DHARMAPALA, Douglas A. Shackelford
Why JGTRRA Might Have Had No Effect on Dividend Policy
Shareholders Not Benefiting from JGTRRA Influence Dividend Policy
Repurchases Remained More Tax-Efficient than Dividends
Dividends Were Unpopular
Rate Reductions Were Temporary
Adjustments Distort Dividend Signaling
Increased Dividends Have Adverse Implications for Stock Options
Alternative Minimum Tax Dulls Benefit
Summary
Nontax Explanations for the Increase in Dividends
What We Have Learned from the Extant Studies
Great Paper, circa 2013
The Forgotten Capital Gains Tax Cut
Conclusion
Notes
References
11. TAXES AND BUSINESS INVESTMENT: LESSONS FROM THE PAST DECADE, Alan J. Auerbach and Kevin A. Hassett
Partial Expensing
Dividend Taxes
The Investment Effect of Dividend Tax Changes
Dividend Payout Changes
Conclusion
Notes
References
12. A RESPONSE TO ALAN J. AUERBACH AND KEVIN A. HASSETT, Matthew D. Shapiro
Note
References
INDEX
ABOUT THE AUTHORS