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Nationalist State Leaders in Conflict
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23 March 2027

In recent years, global attention has turned to nationalist leaders such as Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin, raising urgent questions about their impact on political stability and international security. This book offers a systematic account of how nationalist state leaders destabilise domestic politics and the global order.
Drawing on state-of-the-art statistical analyses, it shows how such leaders fuel the most destructive forms of political violence: ethnic terrorism, ethnic conflict, irredentism and interstate war. It explains how nationalist rhetoric and policies strengthen co-ethnic support while incentivising marginalised groups to respond violently to state repression.
Examining post-colonial and post-Cold War contexts, the book argues that elite level nationalism is a central yet overlooked catalyst of contemporary security crises.
Introduction
1. Leader Nationalism: Theoretical Foundations and Data Sources
2. Leader Nationalism, Ethnic Identity, and Terrorist Violence
3. Spiraling to Ethnic Conflict: Leaders, Masses, and Nationalism
4. The Origins of Irredentist Conflict: Opportunity, Willingness, and Nationalism
5. Why Nations go to War: Nationalist Leaders and Democratic Peace
6. Why Liberal Peace Fails: Nationalist Leaders and Economic Dependence
7. International Peace in the Crossfire between Nationalist Leaders and Intergovernmental Organizations
8. Illustrative Cases of Nationalist State Leaders and Violent Conflict
Conclusion